{"id":290379,"date":"2022-01-21T09:23:48","date_gmt":"2022-01-21T09:23:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&p=290379"},"modified":"2022-01-21T09:23:48","modified_gmt":"2022-01-21T09:23:48","slug":"guclu-gorunen-gbpaudda-satis-zamani-mi","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/piyasa-analizi\/guclu-gorunen-gbpaudda-satis-zamani-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc G\u00f6r\u00fcnen GBPAUD’da Sat\u0131\u015f Zaman\u0131 m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBPAUD ger\u00e7ekten de y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminde, ancak g\u00fcnl\u00fck direnci k\u0131rmas\u0131 zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor<\/h2>\n

GBPAUD’daki art\u0131\u015f tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaz.<\/span> Bu parite, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (BoE) ge\u00e7en Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce bile y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span> \u0130ngiliz merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n politikas\u0131 kesinlikle GA’y\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 itti.<\/span> Ancak teknik olarak GBPAUD’nin g\u00fcnl\u00fck direncin \u00f6tesine y\u00fckselmeye devam etmek i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele etti\u011fine dair i\u015faretler var.<\/span><\/p>\n

Temelde, ekonomisini iyile\u015ftirmeye devam eden \u0130ngiltere, ge\u00e7en Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda artan faiz oranlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen hala bunalm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span> Hedefe an\u0131nda ula\u015fmayan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n etkisinin hissedilmesi bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 gerektirir.<\/span> A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a \u0130ngiltere’deki ev fiyatlar\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k %10.0 artt\u0131.<\/span> Ayr\u0131ca, Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki siyasi gerilimlerin k\u00fcresel olarak daha k\u00f6t\u00fc enflasyonu tetiklemesinden korkuluyor.<\/span> Avustralya da Omicron vir\u00fcs\u00fcnden etkileniyor ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k ve esenli\u011fini iyile\u015ftirmeye odaklan\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n

GBPAUD i\u00e7in H\u0131zl\u0131 \u00d6zet<\/h3>\n

\u0130ngiltere’nin Avustralya’dan daha iyi ekonomik durumu, son zamanlarda GBPAUD d\u00f6viz kuruna da yans\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

AUD\/JPY’nin birden fazla zaman diliminde nas\u0131l oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in biraz daha derine inelim:<\/p>\n

GBP\/AUD Ayl\u0131k Teknik Analiz<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\"\"
Grafik, TradingView’dan al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ayl\u0131k zaman \u00e7er\u00e7evesinden, GA’n\u0131n \u015fu anda ayl\u0131k bazda 200 MA’n\u0131n GBPAUD’un y\u00fckseli\u015fini engelledi\u011fi seviye olan 1.9000’deki ayl\u0131k direncin \u00fcstesinden gelmek i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span> Ge\u00e7en ay\u0131n mumu zay\u0131f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapand\u0131 ve Ocak’ta bu GA Aral\u0131k’taki en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi ge\u00e7ti.<\/span> GA’n\u0131n hala 50 ve 100 MA’n\u0131n \u00fczerinde oldu\u011fu ve ayl\u0131k zaman diliminde y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131 olu\u015fturmaya devam etti\u011fi belirtilmelidir.<\/span><\/p>\n

GBP\/AUD Haftal\u0131k Teknik Analiz<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\"\"
Grafik, TradingView’dan al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta GBPAUD zay\u0131f bir y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapand\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesini ge\u00e7emedi.<\/span> \u015eimdi haftal\u0131k mum, ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini ge\u00e7mesiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span> Birka\u00e7 saat i\u00e7inde kapanacak olan haftal\u0131k mum, fiyat\u0131n bu hafta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok muhtemel oldu\u011funa dair bir i\u015faret veriyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

GBP\/AUD G\u00fcnl\u00fck Teknik Analiz<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\"\"
Grafik, TradingView’dan al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Daralan bir a\u00e7\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu i\u00e7in y\u00fckselen bir kanal veya daha do\u011frusu y\u00fckselen bir \u00fc\u00e7gen olu\u015fturan bir y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00e7izgisi tan\u0131mlayabiliriz.<\/span> \u015eu anda GA \u00fc\u00e7genin tepesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve bu alan\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri yeniden test edilmedi\u011fi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, fiyat\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7genin alt\u0131na do\u011fru d\u00fczelmesi \u00e7ok olas\u0131.<\/span> D\u00fcn\u00fcn mumu da g\u00fcnl\u00fck destek alan\u0131na giremese de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini kapatt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

GBP\/AUD i\u00e7in ticaret fikri<\/strong><\/h3>\n
\"\"
Grafik, TradingView’dan al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Daha fazla ayr\u0131nt\u0131 i\u00e7in, GBPAUD’dan gelen d\u00fczeltmeyi tahmin etmek i\u00e7in bir giri\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olabilecek Quasimodo modelinin g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc H4’e kadar yukar\u0131dan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya inece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

Emir: Sat\u0131\u015f Limiti<\/strong>
\nGiri\u015f: 1.59600<\/strong>
\nZarar\u0131 Durdur: 1.91000<\/strong>
\n1. Hedef: 1.88800 (50% + BE)
\n2. Hedef: 1.88500 (25%)
\n3. Hedef: 1.87900 (25%)
\nToplam Risk: En fazla, \u00f6z sermayenin %1’i (Y\u00fcksek Riskli Durum)<\/strong>
\nGerek\u00e7e: Quasimodo formasyonu ve confluence yukar\u0131 trend \u00e7izgisi direnci.<\/p>\n

ZFX Analistinin Tahminleri<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Enflasyon, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki k\u00fcresel art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve tedarik zinciri zorluklar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tarak \u00e7o\u011fu geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkede keskin bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi.<\/span> 1992’den bu yana en y\u00fcksek enflasyonu ya\u015fayan ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n ge\u00e7en Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda \u00fclkesinin faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 %0,1’den %0,25’e y\u00fckseltmesine neden olan Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k istisna de\u011fildir.<\/span> Etki hen\u00fcz hissedilmedi ve \u0130ngiliz h\u00fck\u00fcmeti ekonomik kontrole y\u00f6nelik yap\u0131c\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m benimsemeye devam etti.<\/span> BoE ayr\u0131ca i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00fccret bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonun yeniden yava\u015flamas\u0131na neden olaca\u011f\u0131ndan endi\u015fe ediyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Avustralya’n\u0131n i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n 2008’den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda h\u0131zland\u0131 ve ekonominin \u00fclke genelindeki koronavir\u00fcs vakalar\u0131ndaki mevcut art\u0131\u015fla ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak g\u00fcc\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi.<\/span> Avustralya’y\u0131 vuran Corona, olduk\u00e7a \u015fiddetliydi ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00f6l\u00fcm nedeniyle h\u00fck\u00fcmeti bunaltt\u0131 ve bir hafta boyunca 88’e ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

2022’nin ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde, \u0130ngiltere taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131nda hissedilecek olan bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n etkisi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda GBPAUD’un daha da y\u00fckselmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 varken, Avustralya h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin karantina uygulama politikas\u0131 ekonomiyi daha da yava\u015flatacak, ancak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde<\/span> k\u0131sa vadede, fiyat\u0131n daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir dip olu\u015fturdu\u011funa ve ayn\u0131 zamanda uzun vadeli bir yukar\u0131 trend \u00e7izgisi taraf\u0131ndan tutulan g\u00fcnl\u00fck direnci k\u0131rmada g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fck \u00e7ekti\u011fine dair teknik kan\u0131tlarla birlikte fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fczelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 var.<\/span><\/p>\n

—<\/p>\n

Risk Uyar\u0131s\u0131: Yukar\u0131daki i\u00e7erik yaln\u0131zca referans i\u00e7indir ve ZFX’in pozisyonunu temsil etmez.<\/span>\u00a0ZFX, bu madde uyar\u0131nca ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen herhangi bir al\u0131m sat\u0131m i\u015fleminden kaynaklanan herhangi bir zarar\u0131 \u00fcstlenmez.<\/span>\u00a0L\u00fctfen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncenizde kararl\u0131 olun ve ilgili risk kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131n.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

ZFX (Zeal Capital Market)<\/a>\u00a0forex ticareti, emtia ticareti, borsa ticareti ve hisse CFD’leri ticareti i\u00e7in 100’den fazla \u00fcr\u00fcn sa\u011flayan \u00e7evrimi\u00e7i bir forex ve CFD brokeridir. Hesap a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in minimum mevduat sadece 50 USD’dir. Bir ticaret hesab\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131n ve MT4 ticaret platformumuzu \u015fimdi indirin!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBPAUD ger\u00e7ekten de y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminde, ancak g\u00fcnl\u00fck direnci k\u0131rmas\u0131 zor g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor GBPAUD’daki art\u0131\u015f tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaz. Bu parite, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (BoE) ge\u00e7en Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce bile y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u0130ngiliz merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n politikas\u0131 kesinlikle GA’y\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 itti. Ancak teknik olarak GBPAUD’nin g\u00fcnl\u00fck direncin \u00f6tesine y\u00fckselmeye devam etmek i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele etti\u011fine […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":290347,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[23826,23828,23827],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-290379","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_outlook_categories-analist-gorusleri","market_outlook_categories-forex-analizi","market_outlook_categories-gunluk-gorunum"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"tr","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/290379","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/290379\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/290347"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=290379"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=290379"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=290379"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}