{"id":285749,"date":"2022-01-07T09:43:42","date_gmt":"2022-01-07T09:43:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/?post_type=market_outlook&#038;p=285749"},"modified":"2022-02-17T16:21:44","modified_gmt":"2022-02-17T16:21:44","slug":"usdchf-anahtar-seviyeyi-kiriyor-noelden-beri-en-ust-seviyeye-ulasiyor","status":"publish","type":"market_outlook","link":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/piyasa-analizi\/usdchf-anahtar-seviyeyi-kiriyor-noelden-beri-en-ust-seviyeye-ulasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USDCHF Anahtar Seviyeyi K\u0131r\u0131yor, Noel&#8217;den Beri En \u00dcst Seviyeye Ula\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>USDCHF Y\u00fckselerek Kapand\u0131 ve G\u00fcnl\u00fck Direncini K\u0131rd\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>D\u00fcn USDCHF, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi ile kapad\u0131 ve 0.91900&#8217;de kilit seviyeyi ba\u015far\u0131yla k\u0131rd\u0131. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fin temel nedeni, Fed&#8217;in ABD faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma karar\u0131d\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc FOMC&#8217;de Fed, USD&#8217;nin de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7an \u015fahin sinyali verdi. \u00d6te yandan, \u0130svi\u00e7re&#8217;nin ekonomisi de iyidir; 58.6&#8217;daki beklentiyi a\u015fan 62.7&#8217;de \u0130malat PMI verisi ile. Analistler ayr\u0131ca daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u0130svi\u00e7re i\u015fsizli\u011finin %2,5&#8217;ten %2,3&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine inan\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">USD\/CHF&#8217;de H\u0131zl\u0131 \u00d6zet<\/h3>\n<p>TL; DR: USD\/CHF, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ve sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n m\u00fccadele etti\u011fi konsolidasyon alan\u0131nda. Her iki taraf i\u00e7in de \u015fahin ekonomi durumu y\u00fcz\u00fcnden. USD\/CHF&#8217;nin birden fazla zaman diliminde nas\u0131l oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in biraz daha derine inelim:<\/p>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">USD\/CHF Ayl\u0131k Teknik Analiz<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_285635\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-285635\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-285644\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/tr\/hROGflug-USDCHF_2022-01-07_12-32-59-1-1-1024x486.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"304\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-285635\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Grafk TradingView&#8217;den al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Ayl\u0131k zaman diliminden, bu paritenin dalgal\u0131 bir konsolidasyon alan\u0131nda oldu\u011funu onaylayabiliriz. Ge\u00e7en ay Aral\u0131k mumu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapand\u0131, ancak Kas\u0131m ay\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini k\u0131ramad\u0131. \u015eimdi, Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda, bu ayl\u0131k mum bize bir y\u00fckseli\u015f hakimiyeti g\u00f6steriyor, ancak \u015fu andan biraz uzak g\u00f6r\u00fcnen 0.93200&#8217;\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece hala de\u011fi\u015fen bir b\u00f6lgede.<\/p>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">USD\/CHF Haftal\u0131k Teknik Analiz<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_285646\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-285646\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-285655\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/tr\/1IFN6jRa-USDCHF_2022-01-07_12-24-27-2-1-1024x486.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"304\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-285646\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Grafk TradingView&#8217;den al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Haftal\u0131k zaman dilimi bize bu \u00e7iftin \u00fc\u00e7gen \u015feklinde oldu\u011funa ve patlamak \u00fczere oldu\u011funa dair a\u00e7\u0131k bir i\u015faret g\u00f6steriyor; yukar\u0131 trend \u00e7izgisini veya a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trend \u00e7izgisini k\u0131rmak. Ocak 2021&#8217;den bu yana y\u00fckselen trend \u00e7izgisine sayg\u0131 duyuyor ve haftal\u0131k olarak daha y\u00fcksek dipler yaratmaya devam ediyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, bu parite Nisan 2021&#8217;den bu yana daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir y\u00fcksek yap\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Bu haftal\u0131k mum yak\u0131nda birka\u00e7 saat i\u00e7inde kapanmak \u00fczere ve bir \u00f6nceki haftal\u0131k mum y\u00fcksekli\u011fini k\u0131rd\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapanabilir gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bakal\u0131m nerede yukar\u0131 veya a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde belirecek.<\/p>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">USD\/CHF G\u00fcnl\u00fck Teknik Analiz<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_285657\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-285657\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-285666\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/tr\/eTEtR94A-USDCHF_2022-01-07_12-22-50-3-1-1024x519.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"324\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-285657\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Grafk TradingView&#8217;den al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>G\u00fcnl\u00fck zaman diliminde USDCHF, 0,91900&#8217;de direnci sa\u011flam bir \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131yor. 0.91150&#8217;de haftal\u0131k deste\u011fi reddettikten sonra 0.91600 b\u00f6lgesinde destek olu\u015fturuyor ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck kilit seviyesini k\u0131rmaya devam ediyor. \u015eu anda bu parite bir sonraki g\u00fcnl\u00fck direnci 0.92500&#8217;de test etmeye haz\u0131r. Ancak, bu belirli alanda, 0.92500&#8217;de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir direncin i\u015fareti olabilecek birden fazla g\u00fcnl\u00fck ret oldu\u011funu l\u00fctfen unutmay\u0131n.<\/p>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">USD\/CHF i\u00e7in ticaret fikri<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_285668\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-285668\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-285677\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cdn-zfx.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/tr\/fJXYcT61-USDCHF_2022-01-07_12-21-36-4-2-1024x518.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"324\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-285668\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Grafk TradingView&#8217;den al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>4 saatlik zaman diliminde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir aldat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6rebiliriz ve \u015fimdi kuzeye s\u0131\u00e7ramaya haz\u0131r. Bir k\u0131r\u0131lma olu\u015ftuktan sonra tekrar test modeli olu\u015fturabilir. \u0130\u015flem fikri \u015fudur: Emir: Al\u0131m Limiti Giri\u015fi: 0.91880 Zarar Durdur: 0.91670 Hedef 1: 0.92190 (%50 + BE) Hedef 2: 0.92500 (%25) Hedef 3: 0.92660(%25) Risk toplam\u0131: %1-2 \u00d6z Sermaye (Orta Risk Kurulumu) Sebep: H4&#8217;te y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131 ile k\u0131r\u0131lma ve yeniden test etme.<\/p>\n<h3 aria-level=\"2\">ZFX Analistinin Tahminleri<\/h3>\n<p>ABD ve \u0130svi\u00e7re ekonomisi her ikisi i\u00e7in de temel alandan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. ABD i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00f6nce tart\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k ve baz\u0131 ekonomik y\u00f6nler CHF i\u00e7in olumlu bir i\u015faret g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak teknik analizden, bu paritenin zaten g\u00fcnl\u00fck direnci k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bir sonraki g\u00fcnl\u00fck dirence kadar y\u00fckseli\u015fe devam edebilece\u011fini do\u011frulayabiliriz. Ancak Fed, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 Mart ay\u0131nda k\u0131sa s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirirse daha y\u00fcksek USDCHF oran\u0131 g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bu parite 2022&#8217;nin ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine kadar y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir. &#8212; <strong>Risk Uyar\u0131s\u0131: Yukar\u0131daki i\u00e7erik sadece referans i\u00e7indir ve ZFX&#8217;in pozisyonunu temsil etmez. ZFX, bu madde uyar\u0131nca ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen herhangi bir al\u0131m sat\u0131m i\u015fleminden kaynaklanan herhangi bir zarar\u0131 \u00fcstlenmez. L\u00fctfen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncenizde kararl\u0131 olun ve ilgili risk kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131n.<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/tr\">ZFX (Zeal Capital Market)&nbsp;<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/tr\/urunler\/forex\/\">Forex<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/tr\/urunler\/emtialar\/\">emtialar<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/tr\/urunler\/endeksler\/\">hisse senedi endeksleri<\/a> ve <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/tr\/urunler\/hisseler\/\">hisse CFD&#8217;ler<\/a>i i\u00e7in 100&#8217;den fazla \u00fcr\u00fcn sa\u011flayan bir FCA ve FSA lisansl\u0131 \u00e7evrimi\u00e7i Forex ve CFD brokeridir. Min. 50 USD yat\u0131r\u0131n ve <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zfx.com\/tr\/platformlar\/mobil-icin-zfx-mt4\/\">MT4 i\u015flem platformumuzu \u015fimdi indirin<\/a>!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USDCHF Y\u00fckselerek Kapand\u0131 ve G\u00fcnl\u00fck Direncini K\u0131rd\u0131D\u00fcn USDCHF, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi ile kapad\u0131 ve 0.91900&#8217;de kilit seviyeyi ba\u015far\u0131yla k\u0131rd\u0131. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015fin temel nedeni, Fed&#8217;in ABD faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma karar\u0131d\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc FOMC&#8217;de Fed, USD&#8217;nin de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7an \u015fahin sinyali verdi. \u00d6te yandan&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":285677,"template":"","market_outlook_categories":[23826,23828,23827],"market_outlook_tags":[],"class_list":["post-285749","market_outlook","type-market_outlook","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_outlook_categories-analist-gorusleri","market_outlook_categories-forex-analizi","market_outlook_categories-gunluk-gorunum"],"acf":[],"current_lang":"tr","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/285749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_outlook"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook\/285749\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/285677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=285749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_categories?post=285749"},{"taxonomy":"market_outlook_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tr-zfx.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_outlook_tags?post=285749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}